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Severe Weather Watch: Tracking Idalia

Severe Weather Watch: Tracking Idalia

Severe Weather Watch: Tracking Idalia

Weather Update: Idalia Forecast for North Carolina as Of Tuesday Afternoon

By Brandon Plotnick
Heavy rain is expected across our region, Wednesday into Thursday.

As of Tuesday afternoon, Hurricane Idalia is currently impacting Florida, as it rapidly gains strength in the Gulf of Mexico.

The storm is expected to reach Category 3 strength before the eye of the storm hits land somewhere in the Big Bend area of Florida.

Outer bands of the storm should impact North Carolina as we reach Wednesday afternoon, with the center of the storm expected to pass through our region sometime Thursday afternoon.

Also of note, in the last few hours, some closures and delays have been announced. You can see all the closings and adjustments on our special page here.

 

  • Tropical Storm Watch - Flood Watch

    By late afternoon Tuesday, the National Weather Service has put in place a Tropical Storm Watch up to the coast of North Carolina, and a Flood Watch up to Virginia.

  • Watch vs. Warning

  • Current Storm Projection

  • Arrival Times

    Currently, our region should feel the impacts of the storm starting Wednesday evening, with more extensive impact later in the night, into Thursday.

  • Storm Logistics

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ———————-
    At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Idalia was located
    near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 84.8 West. Idalia is moving
    toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h). A northward to
    north-northeastward motion is expected through tonight, with
    Idalia’s center forecast to reach the Big Bend coast of Florida on
    Wednesday morning. After landfall, the center of Idalia is
    forecast to turn toward the northeast and east, moving near or
    along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina
    late Wednesday and Thursday.

    Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
    that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155
    km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and
    Idalia is expected to become a major hurricane tonight before it
    reaches the Big Bend coast of Florida. Idalia is likely to still
    be a hurricane while moving across southern Georgia, and possibly
    when it reaches the coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina on
    Wednesday.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
    (260 km).

    The minimum central pressure based on reconnaissance data is 972 mb
    (28.71 inches).

  • Rainfall Expectations

    https://www.facebook.com/WRALWeather/posts/pfbid02AAQdZ1MmGmz8XjCt4EwARcHztHcu1PsmZyWRvP6QS1qKawo4DRzHTkUmFWybk3bQl?__cft__[0]=AZXxrDH-_pb8TkCK0fmDFQFFKX3xrkRmGJifkdXDgf4BAJJfc3Y95gSRTCzoQB630zGOWsYCiXPFsibxf3tI5fRtpxxKdOPjnFeHUtBxBjjcLpom-4QjPqdXDEHZ_mNb0IvU3PcWEc5j9ZaE80YBskB5&__tn__=%2CO%2CP-R

  • Fayetteville Impacts

    Even with a landfall in Florida, a large rain field will impact the North Carolina area dramatically. Moderate flooding is expected across Southeastern North Carolina.

  • Wind Field Projections

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